In Stuart Russell and Peter Norvig’s seminal book, Artificial Intelligence: a Modern Approach, the two authors wind up their work with a chapter looking at the future of artificial intelligence (AI). Their book is still the text of choice for teaching AI at many universities and so, I thought, reviewing the predictions they made 20 years ago could help guide us to make better predictions now, for the next 20 years of AI.
Upon rereading the book, though, their predictions from 1995 felt surprisingly salient and topical. There must be something wrong! How could a chapter on the future of AI written 20 years ago seem so similar to the many articles predicting the future of AI being written today? Have we not made any progress worth a mention in the past two decades?